Improved quarter by quarter import and export trade in our country in the first three quarters, the annual growth rate is expected to about 4.1%

      Recently, the customs information network (www.haiguan.info) released the "2014 before the three quarter economic situation review and China's import and export trade situation analysis report (hereinafter referred to as:" autumn report). The report on China's 2014 three quarter of import and export trade and macroeconomic situation of the inventory, the main characteristics of import and export trade structure has carried on the thorough analysis.

据海关信息网（www.haiguan.info）分析师透露，此次报告共分为四大部分，分别是2014年三季度经济形势综述、2014年三季度年我国进出口贸易的主要特点、2014年我国进出口贸易的影响因素及走势预判，以及新形势下对我国进出口贸易发展建议。

     According to customs information network (www.haiguan.info) analysts said, this report is divided into four parts, respectively is the 2014 three quarter economic situation review of the three quarter of 2014 years, China's import and export trade, the main characteristics of the 2014 China's import and export trade influence factors and the trend of development of pre judgment, proposed our country under the import and export trade and the new situation.

报告指出2014年三季度，全球经济延续整体复苏态势的同时出现震荡下行迹象。美国经济增长的基础进一步稳固；欧盟复苏范围扩大，但受德国拖累增速放缓；日本受消费税影响经济大幅下滑，“安倍经济学”仍存较大不确定性；新兴经济体整体有向好趋势，但大宗商品价格低迷对资源输出国经济发展的持续性形成冲击，而宽松货币政策的退出导致的资本外流和通胀压力构成其经济内生增长的挑战。

        The report pointed out that the three quarter of 2014, while the global economy continues the overall recovery of the shock downlink signs. Based American economic growth further solid; European recovery range expanded, but by the German drag slowdown; Japan by the impact of the consumption tax economic decline, "Andouble economics" is still large uncertainties; emerging economies as a whole has a good trend, but the commodity price downturn on the resource exporting countries economic development form the impact loose monetary policy, and the exit leading to capital outflows and inflationary pressure form the endogenous economic growth challenges.

与此同时，该报告还对我国2014年前三季度的宏观经济运行以及进出口贸易情况进行了盘点，对进出口贸易结构主要特点进行了深入分析，发现进出口贸易在逐季好转的同时，贸易结构的新特征进一步清晰：欧盟持续回升，日本升幅放缓，美国、东盟稳步增长，金砖国家继续分化；东部地区外贸虽逐季好转，但占比继续回落，中西部地区进出口增势强劲；一般贸易进口增速放缓凸显内需疲软，加工贸易逐步回暖；机电和高新技术商品进出口升降各异，劳动密集型商品出口持稳，“两高一资”商品出口继续快速增长，大宗商品进口量增价跌，涉及民生的农产品进口保持稳定增长。

A      t the same time, the report also macroeconomic operation of China before 2014 three quarter and import and export trade of the inventory, the main characteristics of the trade structure of import and export of in-depth analysis, found that the import and export trade improvement in the quarter by quarter at the same time, the new features of trade structure further clear: the EU continues to rebound, Japan increases slowed down, American, ASEAN steadily, BRIC countries continue to differentiate; eastern regional foreign trade although improved quarter by quarter, but the proportion continue to fall, the central and western regions Import & export growth was strong; general trade import growth slowed to highlight the weak domestic demand, gradually warmed up processing trade; export import lifting of different electrical and high-tech goods, labor intensive goods exports held steady, "two high a capital" exports of goods continued to grow rapidly, imports of commodities increased price of imported agricultural products related to people's livelihood, maintain stable growth.

此外，该报告认为：2014年前三季度我国进出口贸易在基数效应逐渐消退的基础上呈逐季好转态势。四季度，在稳定外贸增长政策进一步落实以及多边自贸合作加强等有利因素支撑下，进出口贸易增速将延续回升态势，但内需不足以及全球经济下行风险或将制约增长幅度。预计2014年我国进出口增速约4.1%左右，进出口总额将达4.3万亿美元。

       In addition, the report says that in 2014 the first three quarters of the foundation subside in the base effect of China's import and export trade was improved quarter by quarter situation. The fourth quarter, further implement in the stable growth of foreign trade policy and the multilateral free trade cooperation to strengthen the support of favorable factors, import and export trade growth will continue the upward trend, but the lack of domestic demand and the downside risk of the global economy or to control the growth rate. It is expected that in 2014 China's import and export growth of about 4.1%, the total import and export volume will reach $4.3.

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